News & Media

Soil moisture system improves forecasts

By: Bushfire and Natural Hazards CRC

Category: Planning & Research

  12.56 PM 14 June, 2017

Location: General

Views: 2437

Research from the Bushfire and Natural Hazards CRC has developed a prototype, high-resolution system to more accurately predict soil dryness, leading to better bushfire predictions. 

Hazard Note 32 covers the new system, called JASMIN. JASMIN is a significant improvement in accuracy compared to currently used models. It is based on research that examines the use of land surface models, remotely sensed satellite measurements and data assimilation techniques to improve the monitoring and prediction of soil dryness. The new information will be calibrated for use within the existing fire prediction systems. This retains the accuracy, temporal and spatial resolution of the new product without changing the overall climatology of Forest Fire Danger Index and other calculations based on soil moisture.

Immediate benefits for emergency and land management agencies will be improvements to the fire danger rating and warning system, fire behaviour and flood prediction models, which will flow on to emergency warnings issued to the public. 

Download Hazard Note 32 at You can also sign up to receive Hazard Notes direct to your inbox.

Last Updated: 20 June 2017