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Large parts of western and central Victoria, as well as south and west Gippsland, are facing an increased risk of fire in early autumn, according to the Australian Seasonal Bushfire Outlook for Autumn, released today (27 February).
A lack of rain over the past 12 to 24 months has led to increased fuel in forests and heathlands. This has already resulted in large, fast-running fires in the Grampians and the Little Desert over summer.
With average rainfall expected in autumn, the availability of fuels in forests, woodlands and heathlands is expected to remain high. Forecast warmer than average maximum temperatures may also further increase fuel availability in western and central Victoria. This will make it easier for fires to start and spread.
Across the rest of the state, Victorians can expect normal fire potential. However, fast running fires are possible on dry and windy days in areas with dry or cured vegetation.
Conditions may delay planned burning in some parts of the state, but may also increase opportunities to target areas not typically available for burning in autumn.
Emergency services will continue to monitor conditions to identify key risk areas leading into the autumn period.
Victoria remains well prepared for the potential of fires, with a mix of water bombing aircraft, air supervision and air intelligence gathering aircraft positioned across the state to support our dedicated volunteer and career firefighters on the ground.
The Outlook for Autumn is developed by the Australasian Fire and Emergency Service Authorities Council and supported by the Bureau of Meteorology along with state and territory fire and land managers.
It’s important for communities to understand their local risks. Keep up to date with the Fire Danger Ratings on the VicEmergency app and VicEmergency website.
Quotes attributable to Country Fire Authority Chief Officer, Jason Heffernan
"While conditions remain dry with little rain forecast in certain parts of the state over coming weeks, the fire risk will continue but our crews are ready and will adapt to changes as they develop through autumn.
"Victorians should continue to maintain their properties and stay informed of their local risks so they can take action to protect their families in the event of a fire."